PROJ represents the team’s projected record. SW- is the (relative) strength of wins so far. CWVARA is the team’s WVARA within the conference. SW+ is the (relative) strength of wins remaining. SO- is the (absolute) strength of opponents so far. SO+ is the (absolute) strength of opponents remaining. For SW, a higher score means an easier chance to win out. For SO, a higher score means a tougher schedule.
Accuracy: 74.7%
Up to week: 10
| Rank | Team | WVARA | CWVARA | W-L | PROJ | SW- | SW+ | SO- | SO+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Patriots | 4.5183 | 1.1358 | 7-2 | 12-4 | 69.1 | 59.6 | 43.4 | 54.9 |
| #2 | Broncos | 4.0326 | 7.5240 | 7-2 | 14-2 | 69.7 | 74.3 | 61.1 | 45.5 |
| #3 | Cardinals | 3.6074 | 5.8920 | 8-1 | 12-4 | 75.8 | 66.3 | 52.8 | 45.5 |
| #4 | Chargers | 3.1290 | -2.4488 | 5-4 | 7-9 | 34.4 | 45.7 | 51.8 | 49.7 |
| #5 | Eagles | 3.0262 | 6.6514 | 6-2 | 13-3 | 70.5 | 71.0 | 42.0 | 46.2 |
| #6 | Steelers | 2.8628 | -0.8845 | 6-4 | 9-7 | 50.1 | 55.4 | 38.4 | 44.8 |
| #7 | Browns | 2.7053 | 5.0464 | 6-3 | 12-4 | 57.6 | 59.3 | 37.9 | 39.3 |
| #8 | Cowboys | 2.4204 | 1.0827 | 7-3 | 10-6 | 65.1 | 58.5 | 38.8 | 54.7 |
| #9 | Chiefs | 2.1887 | -1.9628 | 6-3 | 12-4 | 69.3 | 66.7 | 52.8 | 59.8 |
| #10 | Packers | 2.0441 | 5.8785 | 6-3 | 9-7 | 60.3 | 51.2 | 38.2 | 46.0 |
| #11 | Colts | 2.0237 | 7.2651 | 6-3 | 12-4 | 73.1 | 81.0 | 50.4 | 48.1 |
| #12 | 49ers | 1.8227 | 3.1872 | 5-4 | 9-7 | 32.8 | 41.2 | 58.3 | 50.0 |
| #13 | Lions | 1.5549 | 8.4542 | 7-2 | 13-3 | 72.3 | 68.2 | 36.5 | 51.8 |
| #14 | Bengals | 1.4505 | 1.0568 | 5-3-1 | 6-9-1 | 41.2 | 29.2 | 41.4 | 59.8 |
| #15 | Dolphins | 1.1180 | -3.1183 | 5-4 | 10-6 | 68.5 | 69.1 | 47.3 | 51.6 |
| #16 | Seahawks | 1.0551 | -2.7949 | 6-3 | 12-4 | 80.0 | 71.5 | 46.9 | 70.1 |
| #17 | Saints | 1.0544 | 3.6086 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 64.7 | 71.3 | 45.8 | 36.6 |
| #18 | Ravens | 0.9481 | -3.9590 | 6-4 | 10-6 | 74.7 | 60.9 | 48.1 | 50.5 |
| #19 | Giants | -0.3530 | 1.5928 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 23.0 | 46.4 | 52.0 | 45.3 |
| #20 | Bills | -0.5538 | 4.4203 | 5-4 | 8-8 | 59.5 | 57.4 | 52.8 | 58.0 |
| #21 | Bears | -0.9176 | -9.3176 | 3-6 | 4-12 | 22.0 | 23.0 | 49.0 | 42.4 |
| #22 | Texans | -0.9885 | 1.6533 | 4-5 | 8-8 | 59.5 | 63.8 | 47.6 | 39.7 |
| #23 | Vikings | -1.2175 | -10.8867 | 4-5 | 8-8 | 43.9 | 52.3 | 39.2 | 41.1 |
| #24 | Panthers | -2.1688 | -2.8770 | 3-5-1 | 6-9-1 | 37.4 | 40.8 | 49.0 | 38.4 |
| #25 | Titans | -2.6746 | -4.5820 | 2-7 | 3-13 | 21.1 | 24.6 | 49.7 | 46.0 |
| #26 | Redskins | -3.5566 | -6.7443 | 3-6 | 5-11 | 44.2 | 42.0 | 48.6 | 48.2 |
| #27 | Falcons | -3.5813 | 9.0277 | 3-6 | 5-11 | 45.3 | 39.3 | 34.4 | 60.7 |
| #28 | Jets | -3.7347 | -5.2082 | 2-8 | 2-14 | 22.9 | 12.2 | 60.8 | 54.0 |
| #29 | Rams | -4.4843 | -1.1915 | 3-6 | 4-12 | 26.1 | 35.9 | 59.4 | 56.3 |
| #30 | Jaguars | -5.3679 | -5.6735 | 1-9 | 2-14 | 21.9 | 14.3 | 62.2 | 39.1 |
| #31 | Raiders | -5.6045 | -5.6462 | 0-9 | 0-16 | 11.7 | 10.8 | 67.0 | 62.1 |
| #32 | Buccaneers | -5.6657 | -8.0352 | 1-8 | 1-15 | 32.8 | 26.9 | 38.2 | 44.2 |
Bear Predictor 