College Football (FBS)

PROJ represents the team’s projected record. SW- is the (relative) strength of wins so far. CWVARA is the team’s WVARA within the conference. SW+ is the (relative) strength of wins remaining. SO- is the (absolute) strength of opponents so far. SO+ is the (absolute) strength of opponents remaining. For SW, a higher score means an easier chance to win out. For SO, a higher score means a tougher schedule.

Accuracy: 83.5%

Up to Week: 11

Rank	Team	WVARA	CWVARA	W-L	PROJ	SW-	SW+	SO-	SO+
#1	Marshall	10.7246	11.8253	9-0	12-0	98.3	97.7	33.2	51.6
#2	Baylor	8.4984	6.8403	8-1	11-1	82.8	95.6	55.7	35.9
#3	Mississippi St.	8.4145	7.4018	9-0	10-2	85.1	62.2	65.3	51.6
#4	Auburn	8.2229	5.6347	7-2	8-4	56.8	48.6	66.6	92.5
#5	TCU	8.1879	6.6446	8-1	11-1	79.3	95.3	69.4	23.4
#6	Ohio St.	8.1698	10.1963	8-1	11-1	83.5	91.9	51.4	46.1
#7	Nebraska	7.1165	6.0497	8-1	10-2	97.0	77.8	51.0	73.7
#8	Oregon	6.8760	5.5589	9-1	11-1	94.1	98.5	65.2	26.2
#9	Alabama	6.8685	5.0157	8-1	11-1	86.4	91.1	58.0	77.3
#10	Florida St.	6.5146	8.0050	9-0	12-0	91.5	78.5	55.2	69.5
#11	Georgia Southern	6.4845	8.8909	8-2	10-2	88.7	87.2	33.6	31.3
#12	Mississippi	6.4022	4.2298	8-2	10-2	92.4	91.5	69.4	83.1
#13	Missouri	5.9310	3.6017	7-2	8-4	70.7	42.5	48.7	69.3
#14	Michigan St.	5.8860	5.9143	7-2	10-2	73.1	90.4	58.3	47.1
#15	Duke	5.6464	2.2672	8-1	11-1	79.3	89.7	45.7	32.0
#16	Oklahoma	5.5834	0.9350	6-3	9-3	68.2	99.0	59.6	29.7
#17	Wisconsin	5.5479	5.8079	7-2	10-2	97.7	77.9	49.5	66.6
#18	UCLA	5.4029	5.6980	8-2	8-4	58.9	30.7	64.4	67.6
#19	Arizona	5.3377	4.0880	7-2	8-4	61.3	49.4	49.0	71.6
#20	Georgia	5.1913	2.8814	7-2	9-3	84.2	78.1	50.7	74.1
#21	Arizona St.	5.1032	1.3457	8-1	11-1	71.7	76.8	61.6	50.5
#22	Colorado St.	5.0628	3.7583	9-1	11-1	71.9	91.2	45.6	55.9
#23	Miami (FL)	4.9932	3.4036	6-3	8-4	57.7	70.8	71.8	56.8
#24	Clemson	4.8962	6.9504	7-2	9-3	55.7	72.2	59.7	37.9
#25	Louisville	4.7985	3.6272	7-3	8-4	80.7	68.6	55.7	57.8
#26	Texas A&M	4.7775	1.8064	7-3	7-5	51.6	23.5	63.6	84.9
#27	Kansas St.	4.2889	4.3683	7-2	9-3	75.4	64.2	61.5	60.6
#28	Memphis	4.2565	7.6382	6-3	9-3	61.1	98.0	49.2	34.2
#29	Georgia Tech	4.1176	3.7092	8-2	10-2	88.2	69.1	57.8	82.8
#30	Boise St.	4.1151	7.8375	7-2	9-3	59.6	62.3	55.6	44.5
#31	Minnesota	3.9848	5.9037	7-2	7-5	80.2	21.1	54.4	92.2
#32	USC	3.9843	4.1506	6-3	9-3	78.5	73.1	52.4	68.8
#33	East Carolina	3.7884	3.0111	6-2	9-3	74.9	66.7	36.9	38.5
#34	Notre Dame	3.6484	6.9495	7-2	9-3	73.1	71.8	52.6	66.4
#35	Louisiana Tech	3.5409	11.2779	7-3	9-3	72.8	94.7	52.2	46.1
#36	LSU	3.5201	-0.8036	7-3	9-3	44.1	83.3	73.1	65.2
#37	Rice	3.2940	6.6089	6-3	6-6	62.8	15.8	31.2	73.2
#38	Florida	3.1577	1.5208	5-3	7-4	42.8	68.5	65.2	57.8
#39	Utah St.	2.8795	6.3384	7-3	10-3	75.1	82.1	51.8	36.7
#40	Western Mich.	2.7029	8.0658	6-3	9-3	75.4	84.6	35.9	41.9
#41	Texas	2.4075	4.6558	5-5	6-6	40.8	32.4	51.8	62.1
#42	Utah	2.1876	-1.0900	6-3	8-4	70.4	71.9	67.3	54.2
#43	UCF	2.0941	5.0594	5-3	9-3	48.8	85.6	51.1	25.0
#44	NIU	1.9126	2.4293	7-2	9-3	69.9	41.6	33.3	46.1
#45	Michigan	1.8550	0.0186	5-5	5-7	42.3	13.7	42.9	77.3
#46	Washington	1.8218	-1.1809	6-4	8-5	57.0	51.5	53.9	50.5
#47	Maryland	1.7734	-0.5967	6-3	8-4	49.5	50.7	54.8	63.8
#48	Nevada	1.6726	1.0909	6-3	9-3	73.7	87.3	57.3	46.6
#49	Tennessee	1.6143	-3.7170	4-5	7-5	34.8	73.4	76.6	48.4
#50	Cincinnati	1.4955	3.9123	5-3	6-6	64.5	52.6	41.5	44.7
#51	Stanford	1.4797	-0.5919	5-4	8-4	56.2	84.6	65.2	60.5
#52	Arkansas St.	1.4643	6.0099	6-3	9-3	72.6	91.8	50.9	18.2
#53	Iowa	1.4008	1.4677	6-3	7-5	67.6	30.6	42.8	70.1
#54	Virginia Tech	1.1482	-2.9026	4-5	5-7	56.9	48.9	68.8	46.4
#55	BYU	1.1315	0.0000	5-4	7-5	62.0	77.6	53.2	50.3
#56	Boston College	1.0670	-1.5705	6-4	6-6	64.2	30.3	59.7	59.0
#57	Central Mich.	1.0455	5.4627	6-4	6-6	63.0	37.5	35.1	35.2
#58	Temple	0.9485	0.0997	5-4	7-5	64.1	67.6	40.6	54.5
#59	La.-Lafayette	0.7851	9.8748	6-3	9-3	62.0	81.6	55.4	14.8
#60	Western Ky.	0.7003	-2.4661	4-5	4-8	51.5	12.3	37.3	41.9
#61	Air Force	0.6953	-2.3080	7-2	8-4	67.5	33.7	35.9	62.2
#62	Arkansas	0.6258	-8.5931	4-5	5-7	59.8	32.7	73.7	84.1
#63	West Virginia	0.6257	0.3776	6-4	7-5	62.3	77.7	66.2	59.6
#64	South Alabama	0.4698	1.4973	5-4	7-5	51.7	64.1	39.1	35.4
#65	Akron	0.3262	-0.4101	4-5	7-5	31.8	77.6	33.6	43.8
#66	Oklahoma St.	0.1555	-2.6990	5-4	5-7	47.9	16.2	53.7	84.6
#67	UTEP	0.1084	1.1559	5-4	8-4	56.9	72.0	33.7	40.0
#68	California	0.0997	-1.5909	5-4	6-6	45.4	23.9	62.0	64.1
#69	MTSU	0.0109	4.3044	5-4	6-6	41.5	45.1	58.3	30.7
#70	Northwestern	-0.0220	1.4729	3-6	3-9	28.2	29.6	70.4	43.5
#71	Houston	-0.0568	1.6856	5-4	8-4	75.5	86.9	39.5	43.0
#72	Bowling Green	-0.3411	4.4195	6-3	8-4	55.3	80.3	50.7	26.8
#73	Toledo	-0.3552	6.5619	6-3	8-4	60.2	57.8	49.6	38.0
#74	Kentucky	-0.3631	-4.6510	5-5	5-7	49.8	23.6	61.8	71.1
#75	San Diego St.	-0.5433	0.9233	5-4	6-6	64.2	26.7	33.8	66.2
#76	Penn St.	-0.6691	-5.0467	5-4	7-5	64.1	59.8	52.9	57.6
#77	Virginia	-0.8987	-2.4707	4-6	5-7	41.2	36.1	67.0	69.9
#78	Texas St.	-0.9452	-0.1259	5-4	6-6	45.7	50.5	32.7	53.1
#79	Pittsburgh	-0.9605	-0.6237	4-5	5-7	50.1	47.8	57.4	58.8
#80	Rutgers	-1.1641	-7.0420	5-4	6-6	51.6	28.3	59.5	64.8
#81	North Carolina St.	-1.4824	-7.7298	5-5	7-5	31.3	70.9	57.4	54.9
#82	Fresno St.	-1.8574	2.1168	4-6	4-8	34.1	36.1	51.5	41.0
#83	Oregon St.	-1.9730	-7.5730	4-5	4-8	47.6	24.9	51.0	80.5
#84	South Carolina	-2.0277	-4.9996	4-5	4-8	62.8	32.5	71.4	67.2
#85	Massachusetts	-2.1471	2.4153	2-7	4-8	48.4	58.7	27.1	27.1
#86	Navy	-2.1612	-6.9474	4-5	5-7	54.0	40.4	63.9	47.9
#87	FIU	-2.4729	0.0850	3-7	5-7	53.0	74.5	57.7	32.4
#88	Washington St.	-2.5853	-3.1747	3-7	3-9	24.6	11.7	66.3	73.8
#89	UAB	-2.8854	-4.2244	5-5	6-6	61.6	43.9	49.1	54.3
#90	La.-Monroe	-2.8970	-1.1321	3-6	4-8	34.6	25.0	31.7	56.1
#91	Illinois	-2.9408	-6.9718	4-5	5-7	28.5	35.4	70.8	48.2
#92	Purdue	-2.9851	-3.8618	3-7	4-8	25.2	46.6	73.1	32.8
#93	North Carolina	-3.0606	-3.7835	4-5	5-7	27.3	42.9	69.7	54.4
#94	Ohio	-3.0808	-3.2491	5-5	6-6	50.9	51.4	50.8	33.6
#95	Syracuse	-3.2153	-5.6648	3-7	4-8	42.2	38.7	68.2	47.3
#96	Kansas	-3.4694	-6.6998	3-6	3-9	30.7	10.1	57.1	82.6
#97	UTSA	-3.4696	-5.2276	2-7	4-8	30.8	46.9	47.3	32.2
#98	Kent St.	-3.5267	-5.8361	1-8	1-11	15.5	12.1	32.8	51.6
#99	Wyoming	-3.7863	-3.3134	4-6	4-8	40.7	25.6	62.5	44.1
#100	San Jose St.	-3.8300	-2.1625	3-6	4-8	43.6	50.9	57.0	43.5
#101	ODU	-3.8980	-5.0230	4-6	4-8	39.1	24.8	50.4	42.6
#102	Indiana	-4.0174	-11.8080	3-6	4-8	39.3	24.4	63.2	53.7
#103	Hawaii	-4.2650	-4.9135	2-8	4-9	26.7	46.3	56.6	20.6
#104	North Texas	-4.3170	-5.8299	3-6	3-9	44.2	20.2	42.8	34.6
#105	Buffalo	-4.3187	-5.5315	3-6	4-8	48.5	48.3	48.1	35.4
#106	Colorado	-4.3222	-6.3418	2-8	2-10	26.3	1.6	61.2	80.5
#107	Tulane	-4.3244	-2.2653	3-6	3-9	37.1	14.5	54.5	69.0
#108	Texas Tech	-4.3474	-6.2451	3-6	4-8	27.4	32.1	62.9	62.0
#109	South Florida	-4.4313	-2.9640	3-6	4-8	27.0	33.9	53.6	48.4
#110	Ball St.	-4.6000	-1.7057	3-6	4-8	51.8	27.6	60.3	27.3
#111	Vanderbilt	-4.7928	-8.6523	3-7	3-9	21.6	1.6	62.1	79.7
#112	FAU	-4.8208	-5.6980	3-7	4-8	35.9	33.1	42.8	53.4
#113	New Mexico	-4.9238	-7.2327	3-6	4-8	51.8	31.2	46.7	58.3
#114	Wake Forest	-5.0105	-7.7510	2-7	2-10	25.8	9.2	59.7	60.9
#115	Tulsa	-5.1150	-0.6499	2-7	2-10	22.7	12.7	43.0	61.7
#116	Southern Miss.	-5.1452	-4.6315	3-7	4-8	19.1	27.5	61.9	50.8
#117	Appalachian St.	-5.5066	-0.8953	4-5	5-7	70.0	69.2	50.2	44.8
#118	Idaho	-5.5085	-4.8964	1-8	1-10	18.5	25.1	45.9	7.4
#119	New Mexico St.	-5.9395	-6.5537	2-8	2-10	26.1	5.1	43.3	44.5
#120	Troy	-6.1767	-2.2699	2-8	3-9	34.9	22.9	45.4	48.7
#121	Connecticut	-6.8102	-5.0177	2-7	3-9	43.1	34.4	51.4	46.6
#122	Eastern Mich.	-6.8430	-4.9948	2-7	2-10	20.0	18.6	54.0	49.0
#123	UNLV	-7.5722	-4.2156	2-8	2-11	13.0	11.0	57.6	46.4
#124	Georgia St.	-8.0630	-8.4242	1-9	1-11	19.1	3.5	59.1	43.0
#125	Army	-8.6441	0.0000	3-6	6-6	59.8	62.4	42.9	61.5
#126	Miami (OH)	-9.4637	-6.7107	2-8	3-9	45.6	46.4	58.4	41.0
#127	SMU	-12.0583	-10.1496	0-8	0-12	1.6	1.6	53.7	54.3
#128	Iowa St.	-12.5757	-9.0017	2-7	2-10	33.0	10.7	67.5	54.2